Alfter vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BFR
1 - 1
ALT
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
SIE
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
ALT
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 3
H05
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIA
0 - 2
ALT
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GEW
0 - 4
EUR
9%
16%
75%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
GEW
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEW
0 - 4
WEG
8%
16%
76%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BWF
1 - 1
GEW
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GEW
1 - 4
VLR
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |