Altay vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 4
ALT
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 1
KAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ORD
0 - 2
ALT
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 0
KAR
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
KAS
1 - 1
ALT
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MER
4 - 1
GIR
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 3
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
HAT
2 - 4
MER
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
ADA
32%
30%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
MER
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |