Alsager Town vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsager Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
ALS
1 - 3
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALS
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
ALS
1 - 4
CAM
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 2
ALS
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
CHO
0 - 6
ALS
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
BUX
1 - 1
EAS
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
BUX
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
OSS
1 - 4
BUX
34%
25%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BUX
2 - 0
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
BUX
2 - 0
KID
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |