Alqueries B vs Castellnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueries B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 1
ALQ
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALQ
4 - 1
FAU
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALQ
4 - 3
NUL
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIV
1 - 2
ALQ
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
4 - 2
DRC
80%
12%
9%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIV
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DRC
2 - 2
CAS
40%
20%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
LLO
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ABS
2 - 1
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALM
46%
20%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |