Alphense Boys vs Westlandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
11º
45
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ROH
2 - 1
ALP
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 0
VKW
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
PUR
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
ALP
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
1 - 6
HOO
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Westlandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
WES
3 - 2
PUR
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WES
1 - 6
HOO
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VOC
0 - 3
WES
23%
20%
57%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 3
WES
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 5
HBS
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |