Alphense Boys vs Nieuw Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
STO
2 - 7
ALP
13%
18%
70%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALP
2 - 2
SJC
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DEK
2 - 3
ALP
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALP
1 - 2
SOE
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALP
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Nieuw Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NUT
4 - 1
STO
38%
21%
42%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VVI
1 - 1
NUT
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NUT
4 - 3
PUR
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DEM
7 - 2
NUT
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEK
0 - 1
NUT
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |