Alphense Boys vs HVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
0 - 3
ALP
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 0
ALP
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALP
3 - 1
QUI
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SJC
4 - 2
ALP
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ALP
1 - 0
NIE
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
HVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
HVV
2 - 1
DEL
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
HVV
3 - 2
SCN
23%
23%
53%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VUC
1 - 2
HVV
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
HVV
0 - 2
RKA
24%
25%
51%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NIE
0 - 0
HVV
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |