Alpendorada vs Custóias FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+294%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 1
ALP
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALP
2 - 1
CSA
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
5 - 1
ALP
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALP
1 - 1
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALP
2 - 1
GMA
30%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Custóias FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CUS
0 - 3
DSA
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PED
1 - 0
CUS
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FOZ
0 - 2
CUS
40%
23%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CUS
4 - 0
CSA
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
CUS
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +2 |