Almudévar vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TAR
1 - 0
CFA
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CFA
1 - 1
SAR
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CFA
0 - 4
ZAR
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CFA
1 - 0
UDC
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 0
CFA
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
UFC
29%
26%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 3
CAL
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SJU
3 - 1
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
ICF
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |