Almoradí vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
THD
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALM
26%
22%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HON
0 - 3
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 3
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAL
12%
17%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |