Almonte vs Punta Umbria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 1
ATL
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MED
3 - 2
ALM
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOG
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
ALM
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
5 - 4
UDP
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
ILI
55%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
PUM
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 1
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MED
2 - 0
PUM
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |