Almirante Brown vs Brown Adrogue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
ALM
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 1
FLA
75%
18%
7%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 1
ALM
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALM
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Brown Adrogue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 1
UAI
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
BRO
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
BRO
31%
29%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 1
COL
71%
19%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
BRO
15%
24%
62%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | -1 |