LaLiga round 21

Almería vs Real Sporting analysis

Almería Real Sporting
83 ELO 81
-1.5% Tilt -2.4%
192º General ELO ranking 449º
23º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
49.7%
Almería
25.4%
Draw
24.9%
Real Sporting

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
Almería
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
Real Sporting
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería
-2%
-3%
Real Sporting

ELO progression

Almería
Real Sporting
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería
Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2010
VAD
Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Almería
ALM
51%
25%
24%
82 84 2 0
23 Jan. 2010
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Almería
ALM
74%
17%
9%
83 91 8 -1
17 Jan. 2010
ALM
Almería
1 - 1
Tenerife
CDT
57%
23%
20%
83 78 5 0
09 Jan. 2010
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 1
Almería
ALM
66%
20%
14%
82 89 7 +1
03 Jan. 2010
ALM
Almería
1 - 0
Xerez CD
XER
58%
23%
19%
82 78 4 0

Matches

Real Sporting
Real Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2010
SPO
Real Sporting
0 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
12%
21%
67%
82 95 13 0
24 Jan. 2010
SPO
Real Sporting
0 - 1
Racing
RAC
41%
27%
33%
82 86 4 0
17 Jan. 2010
ATM
Atlético
3 - 2
Real Sporting
SPO
73%
17%
10%
82 88 6 0
10 Jan. 2010
SPO
Real Sporting
1 - 0
Getafe
GET
36%
26%
38%
82 87 5 0
03 Jan. 2010
SPO
Real Sporting
2 - 2
Málaga
MAL
46%
26%
29%
82 84 2 0