Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 2-3
Almería vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 2
GET
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BET
3 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
VAD
38%
25%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALM
1 - 0
SEV
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALM
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 1
DEP
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
LEV
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 2
REC
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GET
2 - 1
LEV
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 3
BET
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |