Almería vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
PON
0 - 1
ALM
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ALM
4 - 0
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VAD
2 - 2
ALM
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 1
XER
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
POL
1 - 2
ALM
45%
28%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 0
ELC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
VEC
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 2
ELC
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ELC
2 - 1
MAL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |