Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Almería B vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 2
ALM
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 1
MAL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
UDT
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALM
14 - 1
AME
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
RJA
0 - 0
UDT
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDT
1 - 1
RJA
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 2
RJA
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RJA
2 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
RJA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |