Almería B vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALM
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 2
ALM
65%
24%
11%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 3
CAD
12%
21%
68%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ROQ
1 - 1
ALM
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
LOR
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 0
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |