Almagro vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 0
ALM
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
ACA
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 3
ALM
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
COM
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
UAI
24%
28%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ACA
3 - 0
ITA
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 0
PLA
18%
28%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
ITA
52%
28%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 1
BAR
18%
29%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |