Almagro vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 4
EST
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
AND
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 1
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 0
ARM
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
DEF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
FLA
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |