Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 2
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
PLA
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
AND
44%
30%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
AND
5 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
DAL
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
COL
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |