Almagro CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
66%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
3 - 0
ALM
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
TOR
30%
25%
46%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
PED
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 1
ALM
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 1
CDT
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDT
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 0
CDC
74%
16%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 2
CDT
20%
23%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |