Allschwil vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
3 - 0
LAU
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 0
ALL
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 68 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 4
ALL
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 1
FCC
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
ALL
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CON
6 - 0
LAU
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
MOU
86%
10%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
4 - 3
CON
9%
17%
73%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
BAS
86%
9%
4%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 3
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |