Alloa Athletic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAL
2 - 1
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 1
ALL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 1
GLA
15%
23%
63%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 0
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
QOS
0 - 3
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HOM
5 - 1
CWB
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 0
HOM
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |