Alliance vs Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
78.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1249%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
AFC
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FSC
3 - 0
AFC
90%
7%
2%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LAT
4 - 1
AFC
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 7
ELI
2%
5%
92%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BOD
5 - 1
AFC
94%
4%
1%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 4
TCC
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 4
ACA
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +4 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
BOD
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 1
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
EEU
1 - 1
ACA
33%
21%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |