Alki vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 3
ALK
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALK
2 - 3
ETH
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALK
1 - 3
PAF
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ERM
1 - 2
ALK
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALK
0 - 3
ENO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAF
1 - 1
ERM
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ERM
3 - 3
PAF
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 1
ERM
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ERM
1 - 2
ALK
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
APO
1 - 3
ERM
40%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |