Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PAS
3 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UES
1 - 3
ALI
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MET
5 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
UES
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
SFC
1 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CDD
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATL
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |