Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 3
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 4
UES
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 0
FIR
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FIR
1 - 0
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 0
FIR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FIR
2 - 1
UES
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |