Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
20%
24%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FIR
2 - 0
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 2
FAS
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FAS
3 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
FAS
0 - 0
FIR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
FAS
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |