Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
JOC
85%
12%
4%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
CEV
1 - 2
ALI
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
TIG
4 - 2
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ONC
3 - 0
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |