Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 1
ALI
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 4
ALI
27%
21%
51%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
SFC
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
UES
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SFC
3 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
MUN
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
VEN
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |