Alianza vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
FAS
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
UES
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 0
MET
28%
28%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CDD
1 - 0
JUV
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 1
CDD
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 0
ATL
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FAS
0 - 1
CDD
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |