Alianza vs Independiente FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
MUN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
CDD
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PAS
3 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |