Alianza vs CD Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MET
3 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
VIS
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
5 - 0
FIR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 1
FIR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VIS
1 - 1
AGU
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 0
ONC
72%
18%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
AGU
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |