Alianza vs UES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SFC
2 - 4
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
ALI
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 1
CDD
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 2
UES
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UES
1 - 0
SFC
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MET
0 - 0
UES
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UES
1 - 1
MUN
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
UES
1 - 0
MIL
91%
7%
2%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |