Perú - Liga 2 Playoffs Ascenso. Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Alianza Universidad vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
AUN
27%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
AUN
23%
26%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
SRP
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
AUN
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
LLA
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
72%
17%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
LOS
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |