Alianza Universidad vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
AUN
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
4 - 0
GAL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
AUN
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
LOS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
SBO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
COM
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |