Alianza FC vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 4
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
TFC
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 2
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
RSC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
RSC
0 - 3
CEN
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
RSC
28%
29%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |