Alianza FC vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
BUC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAS
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
ALI
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
CUC
20%
25%
56%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 1
CUC
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
BUC
3 - 1
CUC
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
0 - 1
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 1
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |