Alianza Lima vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UNA
2 - 0
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 1
GAL
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
AYA
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 1
ALI
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
AYA
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 0
UNI
30%
30%
40%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNA
60%
25%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
GAL
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |