Alianza Lima vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
LEO
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |