Alianza Lima vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALI
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
3 - 0
CIE
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
CNI
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |