Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SBO
1 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALI
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 0
HUA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AGP
1 - 3
SPC
30%
22%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
21%
21%
59%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 1
BIN
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |