Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SRP
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
BIN
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 1
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
SBO
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
SRP
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BIN
1 - 1
SPC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
HUA
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |