Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 1
TOT
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 2
AYA
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 3
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |