Alianza Lima vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
LEO
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAR
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |