Alianza Lima vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 2
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 2
RAC
18%
22%
61%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
RAC
18%
23%
60%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |