Alianza Lima vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
AUR
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
UTC
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 1
BOC
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 1
BOC
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 2
MEL
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |