Alianza Lima vs CA Mannucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 3
ALI
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
PIR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 3
HUA
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 0
MAN
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUN
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
COM
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |