Alianza Lima vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DYJ
1 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 0
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
5 - 0
LAF
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |