Alianza Lima vs Academia Cantolao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALI
4 - 1
AYA
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SRP
2 - 2
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Cantolao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 2
AYA
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
CIE
0 - 0
CAN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 4
SPC
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
CAN
42%
25%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 2
AYA
27%
26%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |